I had recommended to book profits when loksabha elections (May-2019)
results came out. I had mentioned 12000
is upper side for Nifty and support will come around 11000. As I expected,
after election results Nifty made a High
of 12104 and then came down to 10700 levels. Though Nifty started it’s sell
off after elections results but Midcap and small cap stocks started its
correction from February 2018 (Introduction of Capital gain tax).
Since last 2 years Midcap and Small cap indices have
corrected more than 25%. Normally corrections
in Indian stock markets are of 13 to 21 months, so most probably correction
is over. On technical front, BSE Midcap
index has given breakout of falling trend line since January 2018. Now it
has started sustaining above that resistance line. In last 2 months Midcap
index has outperformed Nifty and SENSEX. Normally Midcap and Small Cap indices
start out performing in the Bull Run. So I recommend to increase exposure in
Mid and Small cap Stocks.
Selecting Mid and Small cap stocks is difficult task. Ideally one should invest through Midcap mutual funds
rather than directly investing in stocks.
Following are good Midcap funds to invest.
·
Axis
Midcap Fund
·
DSP
Midcap Fund
·
Kotak
Emerging Equity Fund
·
L&T
Midcap Fund
·
HDFC Midcap
Opportunities Fund
On fundamental front,
data is still not that positive. But RBI
and Govt have taken steps to boost the economy. It will start giving
results in next 2-3 quarters. This year
Kharip crop got damaged due to extended monsoon but Rabi crop is very well due
water availability. I am hoping that rural demand will increase in next 2-3
months after harvesting of Rabi crop. Right now external factors are more damaging
sentiments. Market has corrected this month due to corona virus in China. I think
this is blessing in disguise. China has become manufacturing hub for entire
world. Now India has a chance to become second supplier to world. I hope more
foreign companies will start manufacturing units in India.
To conclude, one
should start investing in Midcap and Small cap stocks through Mutual fund route
for next 3-4 years. (Low interest rates, low inflation and adequate liquidity)I
don’t think we will get such opportunity every now and then. So don’t miss this
opportunity of minting money.
Happy Investing!!!
No comments:
Post a Comment